Thursday, April 11, 2013

Who is Baseball's Best Pitcher?



In the last few seasons, there has been a renaissance of pitching in baseball. There are many elite pitchers in the game right now, and there are a lot of young arms coming up from the minors. Pitchers like Justin Verlander, Felix Hernandez, Jered Weaver,  Adam Wainwright, Zack Greinke, Cole Hamels, and Matt Cain have all signed huge contracts within the last couple of years. Younger pitchers like Clayton Kershaw, David Price, and Stephen Strasburg will certainly cash in at some point. So, who is the best pitcher in baseball? That's a debateable topic with several possible answers. I did some research and looked at what each pitcher has done from the beginning of the 2010 season. I included up to Tuesday's games this year, but did not include any postseason games.

Wins

1) Justin Verlander    60-23
2) CC Sabathia         56-22
3) Gio Gonzalez        53-29
4) David Price           51-25
5) Jered Weaver       51-26
6) Roy Halladay        51-26
7) Clayton Kershaw  50-24
8) Tim Hudson          50-26
9) Yovani Gallardo    47-26
10) Ian Kennedy        46-26

Innings Pitched

1) Felix Hernandez     729.1
2) Justin Verlander     726
3) James Shields         692.1
4) CC Sabathia          687
5) Clayton Kershaw   681.1
6) Matt Cain              674
7) Cliff Lee                672.2
8) Jered Weaver        659.2
9) David Price           655
10) Dan Haren          654

Strikeouts

1) Justin Verlander    719
2) Clayton Kershaw  705
3) Felix Hernandez    688
4) Tim Lincecum       652
5) James Shields       649
6) Cliff Lee               644
7) CC Sabathia        633
8) Cole Hamels        628
9) David Price          618
10) Yovani Gallardo 617

ERA

1) Clayton Kershaw  2.50
2) Jered Weaver       2.77
3) Justin Verlander    2.78
4) Cliff Lee               2.85
5) Josh Johnson        2.90
6) Felix Hernandez   2.91
7) Johnny Cueto       2.93
8) Matt Cain             3.02
9) RA Dickey           3.04
10) Gio Gonzalez      3.06

WHIP

1) Clayton Kershaw  1.04
2) Jered Weaver        1.04
3) Cliff Lee                1.04
4) Justin Verlander     1.05
5) Matt Cain              1.05
6) Roy Halladay         1.10
7) Felix Hernandez     1.13
8) Cole Hamels          1.13
9) Mat Latos              1.14
10) Adam Wainwright 1.15

I went into this thinking Justin Verlander was the clear cut best pitcher in baseball, but one could make a case for Clayton Kershaw or even Felix Hernandez. Verlander got most of the attention after winning the Cy Young, MVP, and pitching Triple Crown in 2011, but Kershaw had a great season as well. Kershaw won the pitching Triple Crown for the National League in 2011 as well as the Cy Young Award. He followed up by leading the NL in ERA and WHIP in 2012. One has to wonder how many wins would King Felix have if he pitched for a better team. The Mariners improved their offense this year, so he might get more run support. Hernandez did win 19 games in 2009, but has never won 20. He even managed to win the Cy Young Award in 2010 despite winning only 13 games. He did lead the league in strikeouts, ERA, and many other categories.

Last season, Roy Halladay and Tim Lincecum had off years. Will that continue to be a trend this year? So far, it isn't looking good, but it's early in the season right now. These two pitchers were in the discussion of best pitchers until last year. Pitchers like Jered Weaver, Matt Cain, CC Sabathia, and Cliff Lee may not be the best, but they are among the best year in and year out. Gio Gonzalez, Johnny Cueto, and RA Dickey all had breakout years last season, but can they repeat it? Stephen Strasburg will certainly be in the discussion in coming years, but he doesn't have the track record yet to be considered the best.

Right now, I would still consider Verlander to be the best pitcher in the game. Kershaw is closely behind and could pass him this season or the next. Kershaw's next contract might even top Verlander's recent record deal. I would rank Hernadez third, and he has the potential to be the best. Price and Weaver would round out my top five.

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